Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 1-6 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Lions Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Lions 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Saints O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Saints 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 91% |
| O/U 53.5 | 91% |
| O/U 55.5 | 91% |
| O/U 57.5 | 91% |
| 2H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Saints vs. Lions | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| Lions O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Lions O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 25+ | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 19-24 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 13-18 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-12 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 7-13 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 14-20 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 21+ | 0% |
| Safety? | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 0% |
| Saints vs. Lions: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Lions 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Lions 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Lions 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Lions 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Saints 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Saints vs. Lions" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If the game is postponed, thi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.4M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
Jetzt „Prognose: Saints vs. Lions" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →