Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| Texans O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 27.5 | 92% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| O/U 31.5 | 86% |
| O/U 32.5 | 86% |
| O/U 33.5 | 82% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| O/U 42.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| O/U 43.5 | 56% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texans 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 47.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Bengals vs. Texans | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| O/U 48.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 49.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 50.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| O/U 52.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 55.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| O/U 57.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| O/U 62.5 | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| O/U 65.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Bengals vs. Texans. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 43% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-20T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.3M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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