Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| O/U 41.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| O/U 47.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| Tennessee O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Texas O/U 27.5 | 66% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee | 65% |
| Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Texas O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 51% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Texas O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 41% |
| Texas 1H O/U 18.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -0.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -11.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 71.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 17% |
| O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Texas vs. Tennessee. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 65% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $123K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Texas vs. Tennessee über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Texas vs. Tennessee" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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