Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -5.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| Texas State O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| Texas State O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 73% |
| Spread -8.5 | 71% |
| O/U 43.5 | 69% |
| Spread -13.5 | 67% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| Spread -14.5 | 59% |
| Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| O/U 65.5 | 29% |
| O/U 51.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 71.5 | 27% |
| O/U 73.5 | 27% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 19% |
| O/U 57.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| Spread -1.5 | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| O/U 69.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| O/U 75.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: texas state vs. san diego state 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $596K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu PolyGram, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie PolyGram ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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