Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über PolyGram) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Temple vs. South Florida | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Temple 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Temple 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Temple 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Temple vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Temple O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Temple vs. South Florida" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming college football game between Temple and South Florida, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Temple" if Temple win the game. This market will resolve to "…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $686K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist PolyGram. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Jetzt „Prognose: Temple vs. South Florida" auf PolyGram handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →